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the president will carry nevada. some republicans push back but let's give nevada to the president. hypothetical here, folks. that would put the president at 243 to 206. you need 270 to win. let's see if romney can find the magic to get to 270. the state of iowa, the president will end there. that's his final rally. the president with a lead there. it's small. the romney campaign says it's still in play but the president has consistently led by a small margin. you will see more and more of that across the midwest. you mentioned governor romney going to cleveland tomorrow. let's look at the latest polling in ohio. no republican ever won the white house without it. mathematically can he get there without it, yes. is it probable, no. here's the latest poll of polls. cnn putting together the average of seven public polls, 50-47. so a very competitive race but again, the president has consistently been ahead by a couple in ohio. governor romney needs to win on the ground and win big on the ground tomorrow to carry that state. in a close election like this, sometimes the little guys matter. new hampsh
this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
maintaining his lead in nevada. in iowa, president obama is still ahead. the national average is closer, but president obama has been on the rise there as well. so early voting has been going on for weeks now. in some states, and there are some interesting numbers on party breakdown of early voters so far. now, most early voters have been identified as democrats in ohio, nevada, iowa, florida, and north carolina according to the associated press. republicans have the edge in colorado. let's turn to bob shrum, professor of public policy at nyu and contributor to the daily beast. great to have you with us tonight. let's leave the names out of it for a moment. obama and romney. let's just take candidate a and candidate b. who would you want to be right now with the numbers playing? >> you would want to be candidate a assuming that's the unmentionable who is the president of the united states. he has a lot of roots to 270 electoral votes. if you look at candidate b, candidate b isn't even going to florida in the next few days. you can interpret that in one of two ways. a thinks he's already
strong about our operations, particularly in states like ohio, iowa, north carolina, nevada with americans are actually casting ballots already and the president has a 2-1 advantage amongst those who have already voted. but as the romney campaign and the super pacs are on the air and we're showing that we have the ability to go deep and broad as well and we're not leaving a single vote on the table. we feel great about our ground game. i was watching the bill clinton/president obama rally last night and it had all the feel of classic bill clinton. the president got pumped up by that as well. bill clinton lost his voice, but that didn't slow him down or shorten his speech at all. we heard everything, including don't stop thinking about tomorrow. there was a lot of nostalgia going on. tell me about that relationship. because it's been fraught with difficulty and we all know what it was like four years ago. there was a lot of tension and it didn't get repaired that easily. >> yesterday it was great, nobody makes a closing argument better than bill clinton does. andrea, somebody
important. but what about states like michigan, nevada, pennsylvania, how much are they in play? especially since pennsylvania, president obama won that one, but he's not apparently taking for granted clinton will be campaigning there in his behalf? >> pennsylvania has a million more registered democrats than republicans. so it is a state that republicans have tried to contest in the last few presidential elections and have failed. but there's always sort of enough of an opportunity there that they end up making a last-minute push there. the other thing to remember is that when you're campaigning in western pennsylvania, you're hitting the tv markets in even iowa. so you do get a little bit of a t two-fer there as well. >> going to be a crazy busy couple of days for karen, for everyone. >>> the race for president is in a dead heat, so where do you think the candidates are spending a lot of their time other than ohio? there isn't another place they're spending their time. ohio, ohio, ohio. we'll go live. ...and in the tiniest details. ♪ and sometimes both. nature valley granola thins pack
states and the nontarget states if you look at the eight target states, colorado, florida, iowa, nevada, new hampshire, north carolina, ohio, virginia, obama's percentage only declined 1.5% from 2008. the rest of the country whether you're talking about the republican or democratic states or the kind of fleet target states in minnesota, pennsylvania, wisconsin, obama's percentage was down 2.8% about double the amount. he would carry the rest of the country aside from the target states but not as big of a percentage. one of the fascinating things at this election is the electorate that believes things are moving in the wrong direction and has been giving the contras dismal job ratings really electing a democratic president retained an even more republican and democratic sen met with some powerful assists from some republican candidates come and i wonder if they investigated the possibility of moles. anyway, the -- they've retained a republican house. an article in "the wall street journal" coming out tomorrow on this issue. the house issue. republicans according to the current town had a
they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso
. look at florida and you look at colorado and you look at nevada and you could even argue iowa, but state after state the latino vote would be taken out the democrats would have lost. even in florida was 61-39. cuban-americans are no longer the majority in florida among latinos but also the younger generation of cuban-americans voting like puerto rican or dominicans, not voting like they anti-castro parents and grandparents. asian-americans was the biggest shift, 75-25 for obama and i remember covering the 2000 race, gore bush. i think loesh actually want the american vote -- asian-american vote. the asian-american vote was a swing vote leaning republican and yesterday it was 3-1 democratic. urban rural, they are mirror images and it's roughly 60-40 and demographically the urban areas or rural a marriott. if you want to bet on rural population going ahead. young and old. again, the youngest voters are the most pro-obama although i will say that the 18 to 21 voters are less pro-obama or were less pro-obama than the people slightly older than they are, the 21 to 30 but still, w
to happen. >> that's plan c. wisconsin and iowa, colorado, new hampshire and nevada were plan b. >> one of them is gone. let's talk about florida. because you guys have been numbers crunching like crazy. it's interesting to comparing them to what they were four years ago. what is your sense, karl? identified that miami-dade and broward counties and palm beach the democratic strongholds in the south. obamis doing better in those. he is doing a little less than big urban centers of the i4 corridor. tampa saint peter and orlando and less well in the urban counties in the i4 corridors and worse in the southwest corner of the state and up in the north. the real one is the panhandle where he is running further behind where he did four years ago. walton county got 26% of the vote. now 23.7% of the vote. romney is getting 3 1/2 points better than -- but this race right now is settled. million people having voted is 2000 votes apart. i think at the end of the day it's about-- >> let me bring in-- >> this has been going back and forth. the interesting thing is in the counties where obama is doing
battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth
? does he think nevada to send senator heller to the senate shouldn't be heard? does he believe on the day he finds himself in the minority once again that he should no longer be heard? does he think democrats will remain in the majority from now until the end of time? for the past several years many of us on the republicans' side of great loud objections to the diminished rights of the minority to participate in the legislative process around here. democratic leaders have tried in more ways than one to silence those they disagree with. they have blocked members including our committee chairman from expressing themselves that committee through unprecedented use of senate rules 14 which allows them to bypass committees altogether and they blocked members from expressing themselves on the floor through unprecedented use of filling the amendment tree which prevents the senate from considering amendments the majority leader doesn't like. no amendments in committee, no amendments on the floor. the majority leader made this clear to john mccain in a remarkable moment of candor when he
of these immense divides that exist. >> just want to note almost an after-thought, nevada, we have a projection, nevada has come through for barack obama. go ahead, nicolle. >> i was going to say, in 2004 when george w. bush won, there was a belief and i went into the white house after that campaign and we believed we had a mandate to reform social security reform. we misread our mandate. we misread the results of that 2004 vote. i think that if i could offer any advice and no one from the obama white house is likely to call me for my advice but my advice would be, do not misread a mandate that does not exist for you because half the country, not only did they not vote for you, they distrust you, they distrust you as someone who understands their problems, who has done what they needed you to do which was to solve the economic despair in this country. >> not only half the country, jonathan karl, but half of caught washington, as well, half of official washington. you have made the point we are coming out of a campaign that probably spent $6 billion in aggregate all to return what looks like the
conference that we have within our own country because of these huge divides. > . >> in nevada, we have a projection that nevada has come through for barack obama. >> in 2004 when george w. bush won we thought we had a man dade to reform medicare. we misread that 2004 vote. i think if i could offer any advice and no one from the white house is going to call me, but my advice would be do not misread a man date that does not exist for you. not only did half of the country not vote for you, they distrust you as someone who understands their problems and who will do what they need which is solve the dispair in the country. >> not just half of the country, half of washington. we are now coming out of a campaign that probably spent 6 billion collar $6 billion collar dollar -- in aggregate to return the status quo to washington. a $6 billion campaign that changes virtually nothing. one of the big stories we thought were those huge republican super pacts. they spent over $300 million just on senate races and they have ended up probably a net loss of senate races. they come to congress lookin
angle in nevada. they cost the republican party the majority in the u.s. senate. i would agree, ana, the tea party has an important role to play. i differ with my party when my party tried to announce them as an astroturf -- but they've been co-opted by the fringe group, and i think until your party is prepared to recognize than move the debate to the importance of government and hose it functions efficiently, i they. >>> bill o'reilly on his show said some people -- actually is blaming the media for the tea party's demise, i guess. here is what he said. >> we're now living in a dishonest culture. media is totally corrupt. it does things that could never have gotten away with even ten years ago. obviously a bad situation that is getting worse. >> you mean like fox? but i digress. is there a media conspiracy against the tea party? >> i don't think so. i think they are kind of an unorgan iced, unstructured party, a faction of the republican party. that's part of their beauty, that they are a gross-roots operation, they are not a structured organization. i think they do have a role to
. they have crossed the state line into arizona to buy tickets. powerball not played in california, nevada, utah, wyoming, mississippi, and alabama. >> imagine, california, huge state. imagine if they can get in the mix, the jackpot would be incredible. ooh. all that powerball jack pot, the topic of our facebook question yesterday. >> we wanted to know what would you do with all that prize money? vanessa said, buy a home where my family lives, donate to alzheimers research, help those who've helped me, help some homeless people, donate to a veterans home, feed hungry children. why don't you try solving world peace, too, vanessa. that is very altruistic of you. kudos. >> joseph, i'll be honest, put it in an offshore bank account, create a whole new identity for myself and live a hedonistic life of questionable morals and purchases and wouldn't feel guilty in the least. >> joseph we, should hang out one weekend. >> i would hang out with vanessa. another joseph says, paula and rob, i would have a smashing party with both of you as hosts and also i would buy each of you a new car of your choic
new hampshire, pennsylvania, wisconsin, iowa, colorado, nevada, any of those. >> five. >> in the 3-2-1 strategy be virginia is one of the three. if you don't win virginia, how much of a problem? >> they're blocked. that is the strategy -- a lot of the electoral strategy was to block romney in the 3-2-1. can they block him in ohio and win that? can they block him in virginia? if they win virginia or ohio, either one, starts to make it tough. unless some other -- you start to change the strategy. >> quickly, virginia must-win for romney? >> it would be great to win it. historically republican. the opposite strategy is not only focus on 3-2-1 but keep broadening the battlefield. wisconsin, pennsylvania, iowa, colorado, nevada, new hampshire, minnesota. states that come in to play at one time or another. and so you would never want to be only have, one group of states you want as many alternatives as possible. insurance policies if you will. >> so, space cowboys you can stand down for a moment and crumple numbers. calling your sources. bret, it's 3-2-1 or it isn't. >> bret: there you g
westward to iowa, wisconsin, nevada, colorado, for it to be a relevant, plausible path for him to get to 270 electoral votes. i still think ohio, virginia and without florida, ohio and virginia probably don't matter. >> let's hope we're not bogged down in electoral challenges in florida and ohio with all the lines. >> a clean vote is what we want where everyone who wants to vote is able to vote. the most important thing. i also think a clean result, in that it's very clear one side or the other. you might not like the result, but it's clear more people voted and more electoral votes went to one of the two candidates. i think that's probably a good thing for whether you're a partisan on the left or right. >> don't forget, house races, senate races, governor races, ballot initiatives, a lot to vote for. take your time and vote. that does it for us on this edition on election day on andrea mitt he chel reports. next stephanie cutter and chris van hollen and my xlej subpoena here next. make sure you vote. we'll be here all day and night with results. we're going to try to stump some polit
of voters has increased in colorado, iowa, minnesota, nevada, north carolina, and wisconsin. it looks like it decreased in 35 of 49 battleground states. the total turnout may be higher in 2008 when all the votes are finally counted. as we planned for, total minority vote share increased to 28%. our coalition turnout, women made up about the same percent of the electorate as in 2008. we got 65% of women voters. for lots of reporting about youth turnout, they continue to turn out and take control of their future. in virginia, we increased our youth percentage. in florida, voting rates increased to 16%, and we got 61% in 2008 and 66% in 2012. african american turnout and support was as high or higher than ever. in ohio, african-americans increased from 11% to 15%. we got somewhere between 9% and 97% in every battleground state. 71% of latino vote, the highest percentage of latino vote since 1996. in florida increase from 14% in 2008 to 17% in 2012. we increased our vote share in florida from 57 to 60, which appears to be a high mark for any democratic candidate. for the first time since the r
turned out had ohio, florida, nevada, colorado, some of those states gone for mitt romney. they're talking about the economy. they're talking the unemployment rate is 1% lower in those states that have gop governors. louisiana governor bobby jindal yesterday talked about the economy and the success the gop governors are having. >> you look at what other governors are doing to lower their unemployment rates. for example, john kasich in ohio and rick scott in florida, they're improving the private sector economies. republican governors have great experience when they pursue tough policies and tough choices not for austerity sake. it is a prosperity agenda. >> reporter: a lot of people are talking about bobby jindal a rising star and possible candidate in the 2016, gregg. gregg: dan, the presidential raise is probably coming up in this meeting as well, right? >> reporter: it certainly is. there is a lot of hand-wringing, a lot of talk about why the gop, why mitt romney did not win at the presidential level this past election. there has been mostly complimentary talk about governor
state of nevada in mitt romney's column, and that's how you get it. it's not very implausible, and, yes, we know that right now the president seems like a favorite in nevada, and that's what makes this less likely than what most folks think, but between that and don't forget you've got congressional districts in nebraska and maine. the point is if you remember how we started this campaign which was the state of iowa decided by eight votes between rick santorum and mitt romney and then oh, by the way the results flipped two weeks later, i've always worried that that was foreshadowing this nightmare scenario. >> as you talk to us, chuck, i want to note that vice president biden is waiting in line to vote in delaware this morning. we'll keep an eye on that as you and i continue to talk. >> reporter: speaking of vice president biden. under this scenario and people are wondering if you don't get to 270, this would go to the house, so the house would elect the president. the senate would elect the vice president, so under this scenario your most likely outcome romney/biden. >> then we'll know
what it's been like. i just had a telephone call with a lot of people in nevada. we were talking about challenges there and their home values are down and people are having a hard time making ends meet. the median income in america has dropped over $4,000 in the last four years. they are earning less than four years ago. the same time cost of gasoline has gone up $2,000 a family, health insurance premiums are up, groceries are up. these are tough times for america. so my plan to create 12 million jobs is needed and needed now. it has five parts which number one we're going to take full advantage of our energy, our oil, our coal, our gas. [applause] and that creates a lot of jobs. not just in the energy sector but in places that use energy, manufacturing for instance uses a lot of energy in many cases and by having low cost energy and we have it and will continue to have it if we take advantage of these resources. you're going to see manufacturing come back to this country. this is big for our country. that's number one. number two, it's a very helpful thing if a nation has the most pro
. president obama held on in nevada. why? for years no primary challenge. remember, they spent money, they identified, they turned out all the latino voters. colorado, suburban voters, latino voters. the president held onto that one. you were impressed by it, they outhustled governor romney. they held onto iowa, a state governor romney was so confident they were going to get. the republican governor put registration at parody. the republicans thought they could get it. they got outhustled again. wisconsin, the paul ryan pick was not enough. state blue dna. >> scott walker won would have a shot. >> one lesson we learn second-degree that mid-term elections are not presidential elections. obama people said african-american turnout will come back and it did. latino would come back, and it did. this is what you end up with. all of the states i turned blue were states at one point or another the romney campaign felt comfortable and a few felt very comfortable about. president obama outhustled them and ran the board. the luxury of no primary, all that spending on turnout. but look, they wer
by 58% to 40% in florida, 87% to 10% in colorado, at 80% to 17% in nevada, and 60% to 31% in virginia. we will go to one of the swing state in this election now. -- a swing states in this election now. caller: i love the statement that he made about self deportation. absolutely right. that is basically what the gop party is doing, not just to latinos, but everyone else. it is basically 47%. one of the things i would like to mention -- i wrote this over 20 years ago -- we had 36 men in mexico who controlled 54% of mexico's gross national product. how much can they need to buy? i am sick and tired of the 36 men in mexico -- the number of men in the united states, canada, central america, south america, europe and asia, etc., whose lust for more greed and power is destroying the entire planet for man and beast. that bothers me. i feel that they spend their lives living off a bus. -- off of us. as long as we obey their roles, everything is ok. -- off of us. as long as we obey their rules, everything is ok. guest: i think that oftentimes, the process that is taken in -- to having a greater
in nevada, i'll go on a limb say and somebody asked me lost time to what would beat harry reid. it would take a -- that was my comment. and we ended up with a -- [inaudible] i'm not going to say. she couldn't win. she wasn't close at the end of the day. delaware the same, colorado the same. so it's not just ideology. it's finding presentable candidates that have coos appeal. we're not running the candidates in some of the state it's costing us the senate. >> it is ironic. he said he's not a member an organized political party. he's a democrat. but the democrats have actually done a better job in the last couple of election in erm it is of selecting the most electable candidates particularly for the senate. >> the republicans -- [inaudible] if you don't win election nothing else matters. and i i think we have people less interested in winning elections and making point. >> the other thing i want to ask is money. the top four senate races that received outside money, virginia, wisconsin, ohio, indiana. you can -- has moved the races an inch. they all stayed almost exactly where they were s
know, nevada went obama and then missouri and then it was the final projection because of ohio, right? >> because of ohio. missouri went for governor romney. as you watched early on, you knew coming in that governor romney had a harder path to 270. you knew he needed this. we haven't called that yet. the president is leading now. it is blue on this map because that is the vote total. you knew he needed this, he needed virginia and ohio and somewhere else. as we watched the vote results come in, we could start here in ohio, a point early on, if you look at this, look at the map, you say look at all that red, the republican had to win. but you look up here and you asked me earlier about surprises, one of the surprises was it came in, where it came into play, was the obama campaign did exactly what it said it would do. without a primary challenge, it spent months and millions saying let's find all these african-american voters in cuyahoga county, key place in cleveland, have their names, their contacts, turn them out and they did. 69 to 30. running for re-election as an incumbent in a ba
there are republican governors around this country and there there's diversity there too. you have sandoval and nevada and nikki haley and you have susanna martinez in new mexico and bobby jindal in louisiana. there is diversity and there is leadership in those states in terms of how are they dealing with this so a lot of that you can look to the cities and look to the leadership that there is around the country in terms of what people are happy with and what they do look to republicans for in terms of handling the economy and handling the budget. >> as a republican strategy, mitch mcconnell and john boehner are heading into a budget summit meeting and you have 30 seconds. >> i thought you said you were going to go easy on me today. >> up the right. >> well look, i think i mean, can we keep going on like we have been the last you know, several years? know but does that mean we have to just say we are going to do everything that president obama wants? know, think there needs to be a conversation and there needs to be, we all come to the table and we had to figure this out but we have got to look at wha
time in nevada and robbery and kidnapping, extending from a confrontation over some of his sports memorabilia. >> he even gave police a few receipts as evidence that he was in the area at the time of the double homicide back in june 1994. interesting twist there. >> reopening that nationwide debate. >> yes. >>> and just as millions of us start hitting the road for thanksgiving, a stunning report from california. it says more drivers in that state are driving under the influence of drugs than alcohol. the state says of the busted over recent weekends, over half have been using marijuana. legalization advocates say no one should drive while impaired. they point out the risks of driving high are substantially lower than use offal alcohol and some prescription drugs. >>> a nasty storm ripping through the pacific north west is now being blamed for at least one death. drenching rain, brought traffic to a standstill in seattle, stranding drivers and forcing street closures. aside from the flooding, the area is getting battered by winds as high as 114 miles an hour. road crews in oregon a
amount of freedom are delaware and nevada and south dakota and illinois and georgia and nebraska and utah. what are they doing rightt. >> the main index measures the size of government and taxation and labor market regulation in those states. they are having a smaller government that puts a smaller burden on the people than new mexico and west virginia and mississippi of the united states . the result is, those states tend to be richer on average than the states that regulate economic freedom away more. >> steve: you mentioned the states with the lowest economic freedom and we'll put that map up as well you touched on them a couple of moments ago. bad news for the people of the united states. canada is eing us? >> yes, people associate the united states as one of the freer nations of the world. this is changing in particular over the last 10 years. with perspect, it is the case of the tallest dwarf. we could be more heck than we always have been. but relative to the nations of the world we are declining rapidly. the united states went from the second freest in 2000 to dropping 16th in the
virginia. shelly berkeley out in nevada. joe donnelly -- >> you know what? where were we two years ago in a horrible election year for democrats talking about harry reid who's going to lose and if he was going to win, he was only going to win with 46%. it has been nurtured and pruned and kind of grown and harvested over the last -- since really the '08 election with obama and perfected in 2010. we'll see what it can do for shelley berkley in 2012. >> bill: todd akin's baby brother, richard mourdock -- >> i think that will be an upset. >> bill: the rape twins. i think we pick up indiana. >> god intended us to win that. >> bill: joe donnelly. >> god intended that. >> bill: he put richard mourdock there. >> i think we'll win there. we could conceive -- i'm not saying this is going to happen but i think there's a better shot that democrats will actually gain seats in the senate than it is that republicans could get the majority. >> bill: and you've mentioned that for the lgbt community this could be a big year. >> it
night? >> in nevada we talk about the third race -- their district, but the fourth district. he lost in the senate primary in 2010. that is the type of district democrats need to win in order to do well. overall i will be watching the seats that republicans favored or even lean republican. the reason why that is how far our are competitive list race democrats have to start winning in defeating republican members in order to get close to the majority. for not winning the heavy -- heavily republican seats, that it will not enough. >> look of the big picture, the balance of power. look at where the president a strong comeback there romney is strong. will there be coattails for the house seats in state by state battles? >> i think the most impact we've seen from the presidential race has already happened. i know in talking to democrats that are running the races, that first debate was fundamentally important, not just because it shifted the presidential debate, but because it was a time when house candidates registered to go on television, try to prove a moderate credentials. that first
would be nevada. it's a state a that a lot of republicans and democrats slightly leans in the democratic category. but it's not an implausible scenario. if nobody got 270 then the house of representatives would decide who the president was, but the u.s. senate would vote on who the vice president was. that means the most likely outcome under this scenario is a romney/biden scenario. >> another scenario if ohio is too close to call. >> here's the problem with ohio. they have a new law that says provisional ballots, and these are ballots that are questioned there, maybe somebody didn't bring an i.d., maybe a signature is off, they will let you vote, but you get put in a separate stack. they wouldn't even start counting them until november 17th. today is still november 6th. so in 11 days, let's say the margin is less than 50,000, there's likely to be over 200,000 provisional ballots cast in ohio. they wouldn't start counting those until 11 days. . they wouldn't start counting until then. it would make 2000 feel like a flakback for people. >> that brings us to our final nightmare scenario an
. romney by 58% to 40% in florida, 87% to 10% in colorado, at 80% to 17% in nevada, and 60% to 31% in virginia. we will go to one of the swing state in this election now. -- a swing states in this election now. caller: i love the statement that he made about self deportation. absolutely right. that is basically what the gop party is doing, not just to latinos, but everyone else. it is basically 47%. one of the things i would like to mention -- i wrote this over 20 years ago -- we had 36 men in mexico who controlled 54% of .exico's gross national product how much can they need to buy? i am sick and tired of the 36 men in mexico -- the number of men in the united states, canada, central america, south america, europe and asia, etc., whose lust for more greed and power is destroying the e ntire planet for man and beast. that bothers me. i feel that they spend their lives living off a bus. as long as we obey their roles, everything is ok. -- off of us. as long as we obey their rules, everything is ok. guest: i think that oftentimes, the process that is taken in -- to having a greater
've got governor martinez in new mexico. we've got brian sandoval, governor in nevada. these are people who are leaders in our party right now, right now. so they connect with what our beliefs are. they generally connect what our police are but this issue of immigration i believe in the last eight to 10 years has become third world politics in our party. where you don't want to talk about it. when mitt romney got into debates about immigration it was like very awkward but he's like what i do with my hands, you know? we've got to talk about. that's what marco rubio leads the charge of every time he talks about anything he talks to immigration, and that is what our party needs to talk about. it's an issue we can't avoid. >> we're going to go to the audience here. just a couple ground close to ask that you wait for a microphone to come around. and that you state your question in the form of a question. so we have a question right here and then we'll go there next. >> hi. outlooks from the cato institute. there seems to be some disagreement on the panel about whether guestworker visas are g
on doors >> i think that is a good thing. the people in ohio, virginia, florida, nevada -- they took this election enormously seriously, understood the unique role they had to play. voters in battleground states understand they have a unique role a lot of us the citizens united to enjoy because they are not and state that will determine the president. >> the super pac's dynamic this time was obviously new and unprecedented. you had senate candidates -- sherrod brown in ohio had $40 million spent against him by super pac's. we had in the last week of our campaign $100 million spent against the president. that is more than the mccain campaign spent in its entirety. remarkable thing. a lot of senate candidates still one. but in house races it had an impact. barack obama, sherrod brown, governors -- they have definition. the spending is a little less nefarious. it's still tough to deal with, but you are not somebody who is now and then somebody drops $4 million on your head will have an impact. we have never seen spending like this. there is a term in politics called gross rating points,
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